La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniel Altmaier v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Predicción 32.91%3.04momio equitativo
EV +5.32%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%32.84%32.87%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.872.903.2037.04%34.81%34.48%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 67.09%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -4.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%67.16%67.13%70.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.401.4674.07%70.89%71.43%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| ReBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.43%E -6.99%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| 1xBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.53%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Fliff | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Novig | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |