مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniel Altmaier v Ben Shelton

البداية: 2026-05-19 16:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.91%3.04السعر العادل
EV +5.32%
الأفضلية +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
النمو +0.129%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.82%32.84%32.87%34.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.872.903.2037.04%34.81%34.48%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ben Shelton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.09%1.49السعر العادل
EV -2.05%
الأفضلية -1.41%
Kelly -4.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.06%67.16%67.13%70.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.411.401.4674.07%70.89%71.43%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 16:11
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 16:10
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:09
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.43%E -6.99%K -26.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:10
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 16:10
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:10
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:10
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 16:10
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 16:11
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 16:10
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:10
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 16:10
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.53%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 16:10
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 16:09
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 16:10
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:11
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:09
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-19 16:10
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-05-19 16:11
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-05-19 16:10