A Escola das Odds

Daniel Altmaier v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-05-19 16:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Previsão 32.91%3.04odd justa
EV +5.32%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.82%32.84%32.87%34.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.872.903.2037.04%34.81%34.48%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 67.09%1.49odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -4.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%67.16%67.13%70.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.401.4674.07%70.89%71.43%68.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 16:11
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 16:10
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:09
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.43%E -6.99%K -26.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:10
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.89%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 16:10
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:10
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:10
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 16:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 16:10
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 16:11
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 16:10
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:10
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 16:10
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.53%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.75%E -4.86%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 16:10
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 16:09
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 16:10
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.84%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:11
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:09
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.13%E -4.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-19 16:10
Novig2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-05-19 16:11
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-05-19 16:10