Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Ignacio Buse

Início: 2026-05-22 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Previsão 27.53%3.63odd justa
EV +4.60%
Vantagem +1.21%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescimento +0.076%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.90%27.47%27.44%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.413.453.8033.33%29.31%28.99%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ignacio Buse (Visitante)

Previsão 72.47%1.38odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -3.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%72.53%72.56%75.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.301.3680.00%76.40%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 27.53%; Ignacio Buse (Visitante): 72.47%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.63. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +4.60%E +1.21%K +1.64%G +0.076%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 13:20
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +2.95%E +0.789%K +1.08%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.474%E +0.130%K +0.179%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 13:20
DraftKings🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -0.352%E -0.097%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 10:41
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.902%E -0.251%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 10:41
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Pinnacle🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-22 13:10
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 13:20
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.86%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 13:10
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 10:40
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 13:10
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 10:41
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:40
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 13:20
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 13:10
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 13:09
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 12:40
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.67%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.42%E -5.81%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 13:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:20
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%2.6%2026-05-22 13:21