La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Ignacio Buse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV +4.60%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%27.47%27.44%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.453.8033.33%29.31%28.99%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ignacio Buse (Visitante)
Predicción 72.47%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%72.53%72.56%75.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3680.00%76.40%76.92%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +4.60%E +1.21%K +1.64%G +0.076% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +2.95%E +0.789%K +1.08%G +0.032% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.474%E +0.130%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -0.352%E -0.097%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 10:41 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.902%E -0.251%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 10:41 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| ReBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.86%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 10:40 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Fliff | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 12:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 10:41 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 13:09 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.67%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.42%E -5.81%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| Novig | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 2.6% | 2026-05-22 13:21 |