L’École des cotes

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Ignacio Buse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prévision 27.53%3.63cote équitable
EV +4.60%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.64%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%27.47%27.44%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.453.8033.33%29.31%28.99%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ignacio Buse (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.47%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -3.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.28%72.53%72.56%75.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3680.00%76.40%76.92%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +4.60%E +1.21%K +1.64%G +0.076%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 13:20
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +2.95%E +0.789%K +1.08%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.474%E +0.130%K +0.179%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 13:20
DraftKings3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -0.352%E -0.097%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 10:41
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.902%E -0.251%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 10:41
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 13:20
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-22 13:10
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 13:20
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.86%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 13:10
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 10:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 10:40
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:10
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 12:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 13:10
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 10:41
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:40
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 13:20
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 13:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 13:09
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 12:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.67%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.42%E -5.81%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:20
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%2.6%2026-05-22 13:21