مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Ignacio Buse

البداية: 2026-05-22 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.53%3.63السعر العادل
EV +4.60%
الأفضلية +1.21%
Kelly +1.64%
النمو +0.076%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.90%27.47%27.44%30.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.413.453.8033.33%29.31%28.99%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ignacio Buse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 72.47%1.38السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -3.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.28%72.53%72.56%75.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.301.3680.00%76.40%76.92%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +4.60%E +1.21%K +1.64%G +0.076%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 13:20
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +2.95%E +0.789%K +1.08%G +0.032%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -7.23%E -5.65%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.474%E +0.130%K +0.179%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 13:20
DraftKings3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -0.352%E -0.097%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 10:41
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.902%E -0.251%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 10:41
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 13:20
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-22 13:10
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 12:30
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 13:20
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.86%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 13:10
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 10:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 10:40
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:10
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.23%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 12:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.06%E -3.86%K -16.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 13:10
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 13:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 12:40
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 10:41
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:40
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 13:20
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.34%E -3.28%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 13:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 13:09
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 12:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.67%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.89%E -2.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.42%E -5.81%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.61%E -2.72%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 13:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:20
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-05-22 13:20
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%2.6%2026-05-22 13:21