Language:English
Learner Tien v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 43.39%2.30fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.44%43.30%46.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.28%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit)
Prediction 56.61%1.77fair odd
EV -0.367%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.483%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.87%56.56%56.70%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7661.73%59.34%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 43.39%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit): 56.61%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.305. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.300, with an expected value of -0.202%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.202%E -0.088%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 13:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -0.367%E -0.209%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-17 13:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -12.35%E -6.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -2.07%E -1.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-06-17 13:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 13:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 13:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61% | 3.3% | 2026-06-17 13:11 |