A Escola das Odds

Learner Tien v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Início: 2026-06-17 13:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 43.39%2.30odd justa
EV -0.202%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.155%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.44%43.30%46.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.28%46.51%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Previsão 56.61%1.77odd justa
EV -0.367%
Vantagem -0.209%
Kelly -0.483%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.87%56.56%56.70%58.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7661.73%59.34%59.17%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.202%E -0.088%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 13:09
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 13:10
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 13:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:10
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:09
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 13:10
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -0.367%E -0.209%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 13:11
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:10
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 13:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:07
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:10
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -12.35%E -6.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -2.07%E -1.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 13:11
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-17 13:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-17 13:11
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-06-17 13:11