La escuela de los momios

Learner Tien v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Inicio: 2026-06-17 13:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Learner Tien (Local)

Predicción 43.39%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.202%
Ventaja -0.088%
Kelly -0.155%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.44%43.30%46.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.28%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Predicción 56.61%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.367%
Ventaja -0.209%
Kelly -0.483%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.87%56.56%56.70%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7661.73%59.34%59.17%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.202%E -0.088%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 13:09
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 13:10
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 13:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:10
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:09
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 13:10
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -0.367%E -0.209%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 13:11
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:10
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 13:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:07
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:10
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -12.35%E -6.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -2.07%E -1.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 13:11
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-17 13:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-17 13:11
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-06-17 13:11