L’École des cotes

Learner Tien v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 13:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Learner Tien (Local)

Prévision 43.39%2.30cote équitable
EV -0.202%
Avantage -0.088%
Kelly -0.155%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.44%43.30%46.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.28%46.51%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.61%1.77cote équitable
EV -0.367%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.483%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.87%56.56%56.70%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.691.7661.73%59.34%59.17%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.202%E -0.088%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 13:09
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 13:10
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 13:10
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 13:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:10
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:09
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:09
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 13:10
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -0.367%E -0.209%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-17 13:11
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:10
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 13:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.90%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:07
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 13:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:10
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 13:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -12.35%E -6.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -2.07%E -1.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 13:11
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-17 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-17 13:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-17 13:11
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-06-17 13:11