默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime

开赛时间: 2026-06-19 18:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

67 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frances Tiafoe (主队)

预测 41.64%2.40公平赔率
EV +6.17%
优势 +2.42%
Kelly +3.98%
增长率 +0.246%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.19%41.38%41.61%42.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.70%43.48%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Felix Auger-Aliassime (客队)

预测 58.36%1.71公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -2.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
57.47%58.62%58.39%62.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.591.611.6866.23%62.86%62.11%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Frances Tiafoe (主队):41.64%;Felix Auger-Aliassime (客队):58.36%。 对于“Frances Tiafoe (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.40。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.55,对应+6.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (67 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +2.01%E +0.820%K +1.39%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 17:59
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.74%E -0.737%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.53%E -1.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.95%E -5.74%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 18:00
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.99%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:58
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 17:58
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 17:59
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
ReBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.65%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 18:00
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 17:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:55
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00