La scuola delle quote

Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Inizio: 2026-06-19 18:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

67 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Casa)

Previsione 41.64%2.40quota equa
EV +6.17%
Vantaggio +2.42%
Kelly +3.98%
Crescita +0.246%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.19%41.38%41.61%42.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.70%43.48%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.36%1.71quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.47%58.62%58.39%62.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.591.611.6866.23%62.86%62.11%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (67 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +2.01%E +0.820%K +1.39%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 17:59
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.74%E -0.737%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.53%E -1.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 18:00
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.95%E -5.74%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 18:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 18:00
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.99%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:58
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 17:58
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 17:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.65%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 18:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 18:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 17:59
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00