مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime

البداية: 2026-06-19 18:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

67 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.64%2.40السعر العادل
EV +6.17%
الأفضلية +2.42%
Kelly +3.98%
النمو +0.246%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.19%41.38%41.61%42.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.70%43.48%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.36%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -1.16%
Kelly -2.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.47%58.62%58.39%62.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.591.611.6866.23%62.86%62.11%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (67 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +2.01%E +0.820%K +1.39%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 17:59
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.74%E -0.737%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.53%E -1.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 18:00
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.95%E -5.74%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 18:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 18:00
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.99%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:58
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 17:58
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 17:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.65%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 18:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 18:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 17:59
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00