L’École des cotes

Frances Tiafoe v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 18:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

67 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prévision 41.64%2.40cote équitable
EV +6.17%
Avantage +2.42%
Kelly +3.98%
Croissance +0.246%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.19%41.38%41.61%42.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.302.5545.45%42.70%43.48%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.36%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.47%58.62%58.39%62.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.611.6866.23%62.86%62.11%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (67 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -11.29%E -7.43%K -21.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +6.17%E +2.42%K +3.98%G +0.246%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.87%E -7.86%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +2.01%E +0.820%K +1.39%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.70%E -7.00%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 17:59
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.74%E -0.737%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.53%E -1.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 18:00
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.15%E -0.917%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.95%E -5.74%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 18:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 18:00
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.99%E -1.28%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:58
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 17:58
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 17:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:59
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.54%E -6.15%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.65%E -2.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 17:59
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.95%E -1.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 18:00
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.49%E -2.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.20%E -4.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.28%E -2.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 18:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.75%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 18:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.32%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 17:59
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.57%E -3.41%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 17:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.36%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:00
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-06-19 18:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-06-19 18:00