Language:English
Daniel Altmaier v Daniil Medvedev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prediction 17.67%5.66fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.514%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.31%17.76%17.76%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.345.405.8022.22%18.74%18.52%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 82.33%1.21fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -10.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.51%82.24%82.24%83.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.99%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 17.67%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 82.33%. For Daniel Altmaier (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.351%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.25%E -0.783%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -2.02%E -1.70%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -5.48%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-19 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.90%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -20.50%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 14:50 |