La escuela de los momios

Daniel Altmaier v Daniil Medvedev

Inicio: 2026-06-19 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Predicción 17.67%5.66momio equitativo
EV +2.47%
Ventaja +0.426%
Kelly +0.514%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.31%17.76%17.76%20.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.345.405.8022.22%18.74%18.52%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Predicción 82.33%1.21momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -10.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.51%82.24%82.24%83.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.99%86.96%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-19 14:50
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 14:49
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 14:50
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.351%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 14:50
GTbets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:49
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 14:50
Pinnacle5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.25%E -0.783%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -2.02%E -1.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
DraftKings5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -5.48%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Fliff5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 14:50
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 14:50
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 14:49
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 14:50
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.90%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:43
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 14:44
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -20.50%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68%3.8%2026-06-19 14:50