مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniel Altmaier v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-06-19 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

67 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.67%5.66السعر العادل
EV +2.47%
الأفضلية +0.426%
Kelly +0.514%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.31%17.76%17.76%20.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.345.405.8022.22%18.74%18.52%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 82.33%1.21السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -1.70%
Kelly -10.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
79.51%82.24%82.24%83.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.99%86.96%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (67 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-19 14:50
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 14:49
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 14:50
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.351%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 14:50
GTbets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:49
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 14:50
Pinnacle5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.25%E -0.783%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -2.02%E -1.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
DraftKings5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -5.48%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Fliff5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 14:50
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 14:50
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 14:49
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 14:50
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.90%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:43
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 14:44
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -20.50%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 14:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68%3.8%2026-06-19 14:50