La scuola delle quote

Daniel Altmaier v Daniil Medvedev

Inizio: 2026-06-19 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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67 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Casa)

Previsione 17.67%5.66quota equa
EV +2.47%
Vantaggio +0.426%
Kelly +0.514%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.31%17.76%17.76%20.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.345.405.8022.22%18.74%18.52%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta)

Previsione 82.33%1.21quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -10.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.51%82.24%82.24%83.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.99%86.96%84.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (67 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.47%E +0.426%K +0.514%G +0.013%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-19 14:50
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -0.888%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 14:49
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.07%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 14:50
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.351%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 14:50
GTbets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:49
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 14:50
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 14:50
Pinnacle5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.25%E -0.783%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -2.02%E -1.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.60%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:50
DraftKings5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -5.48%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Fliff5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 14:50
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.37%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 14:50
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 14:49
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 14:50
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 14:50
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
PMU (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 14:50
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
NordicBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 14:50
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.90%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 14:43
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 14:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 14:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 14:44
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.32%E -4.62%K -35.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 14:50
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -20.50%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-06-19 14:50
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68%3.8%2026-06-19 14:50