Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 58.50%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 41.50%. For Alexander Zverev (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.709. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.710, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.033%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.033%E +0.019%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.85%E -6.12%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.28%E -3.75%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-20 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.04%E -3.14%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.47%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.45%E -3.34%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.96%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 12:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.397%E -0.165%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -5.79%E -2.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 12:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 12:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68% | 3.2% | 2026-06-20 12:50 |