La escuela de los momios

Alexander Zverev v Taylor Fritz

Inicio: 2026-06-20 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Predicción 58.50%1.71momio equitativo
EV +0.033%
Ventaja +0.019%
Kelly +0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%58.26%58.63%60.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.52%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Taylor Fritz (Visitante)

Predicción 41.50%2.41momio equitativo
EV -0.397%
Ventaja -0.165%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.00%41.74%41.37%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.302.4047.62%44.03%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.033%E +0.019%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.85%E -6.12%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 12:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 12:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.28%E -3.75%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 11:50
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 12:39
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:20
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:49
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 12:19
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 12:20
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.04%E -3.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 12:49
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.47%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 12:19
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 12:49
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 12:19
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.45%E -3.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:19
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 12:49
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:19
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:49
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:29
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.96%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 12:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:20
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:19
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 12:29
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.397%E -0.165%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:49
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:29
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -5.79%E -2.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 12:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 12:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:20
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 12:19
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-06-20 12:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-06-20 12:50