L’École des cotes

Alexander Zverev v Taylor Fritz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-20 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 58.50%1.71cote équitable
EV +0.033%
Avantage +0.019%
Kelly +0.046%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%58.26%58.63%60.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.52%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.50%2.41cote équitable
EV -0.397%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.283%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.00%41.74%41.37%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.302.4047.62%44.03%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.033%E +0.019%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.85%E -6.12%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 12:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 12:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.28%E -3.75%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 11:50
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 12:39
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:20
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:49
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 12:19
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 12:20
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.04%E -3.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 12:49
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.47%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 12:19
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 12:49
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 12:19
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.45%E -3.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:19
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 12:49
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:19
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:49
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:29
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.96%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 12:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:20
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:19
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 12:29
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.397%E -0.165%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:49
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:29
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -5.79%E -2.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 12:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 12:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:20
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 12:19
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-06-20 12:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-06-20 12:50