Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexander Zverev v Taylor Fritz

Początek: 2026-06-20 13:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexander Zverev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.50%1.71kurs godziwy
EV +0.033%
Przewaga +0.019%
Kelly +0.046%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.12%58.26%58.63%60.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.52%61.73%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Taylor Fritz (Goście)

Prognoza 41.50%2.41kurs godziwy
EV -0.397%
Przewaga -0.165%
Kelly -0.283%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.00%41.74%41.37%44.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.272.302.4047.62%44.03%43.48%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alexander Zverev (Gospodarze): 58.50%; Taylor Fritz (Goście): 41.50%. Dla wyniku Alexander Zverev (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.709. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.710, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.033%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +0.033%E +0.019%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.85%E -6.12%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -1.72%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -8.28%E -3.75%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 11:50
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 12:39
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:20
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.89%E -1.74%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.04%E -3.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 12:49
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.47%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 12:19
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 12:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 12:19
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.45%E -3.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:19
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.06%E -2.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 12:49
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:49
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:29
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.96%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 12:49
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:19
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 12:19
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 12:19
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.38%E -2.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 12:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.397%E -0.165%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:49
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 12:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -5.79%E -2.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 12:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.62%E -2.94%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 12:30
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:20
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.70%E -3.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.55%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 12:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-20 12:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-06-20 12:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-06-20 12:50