Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 91.19%1.10fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -18.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.51%90.98%91.36%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0899.01%96.53%96.62%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 8.81%11.35fair odd
EV +32.16%
Edge +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.739%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.31%9.02%8.64%12.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.5011.0111.0015.0013.33%9.08%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 91.19%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 8.81%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.35. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.90%E -7.82%K -789.89%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +32.16%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.739% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.35%EV -3.34%E -3.15%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 14.89I 6.72%NM 6.65%EV +31.19%E +2.09%K +2.25%G +0.701% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +14.54%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.176% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +14.54%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.176% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +10.14%E +0.811%K +0.881%G +0.089% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -3.34%E -3.15%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +2.21%E +0.190%K +0.208%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:48 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -0.878%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -14.09%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.70%E -2.30%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -1.52%E -1.40%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -29.51%E -3.69%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -2.43%E -2.27%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -33.92%E -4.52%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54% | 12.66I 7.90%NM 7.46% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 66.88% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 33.12% | 42.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |