Langue:Français
Ugo Humbert v Adrian Mannarino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prévision 91.19%1.10cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -18.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.51%90.98%91.36%93.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0899.01%96.53%96.62%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.81%11.35cote équitable
EV +32.16%
Avantage +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
Croissance +0.739%
avec la cote maximale 15.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.31%9.02%8.64%12.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.5011.0111.0015.0013.33%9.08%9.09%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ugo Humbert (Local) : 91.19% ; Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur) : 8.81%. Pour Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.35. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +32.16%.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.90%E -7.82%K -789.89%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +32.16%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.739% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.35%EV -3.34%E -3.15%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 14.89I 6.72%NM 6.65%EV +31.19%E +2.09%K +2.25%G +0.701% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +14.54%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.176% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +14.54%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.176% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +10.14%E +0.811%K +0.881%G +0.089% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -3.34%E -3.15%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +2.21%E +0.190%K +0.208%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:48 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -0.878%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 13:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -14.09%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.70%E -2.30%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -1.52%E -1.40%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -29.51%E -3.69%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -2.43%E -2.27%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -33.92%E -4.52%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54% | 12.66I 7.90%NM 7.46% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 66.88% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 33.12% | 42.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |