預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ugo Humbert v Adrian Mannarino

開賽時間: 2026-05-25 14:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

40 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ugo Humbert (主隊)

預測 91.19%1.10公平賠率
EV -1.52%
優勢 -1.40%
Kelly -18.95%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.08

博彩公司預測分布
87.51%90.98%91.36%93.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.011.041.041.0899.01%96.53%96.62%92.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Adrian Mannarino (客隊)

預測 8.81%11.35公平賠率
EV +32.16%
優勢 +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
成長率 +0.739%

假設最高賠率為 15.00

博彩公司預測分布
6.31%9.02%8.64%12.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.5011.0111.0015.0013.33%9.08%9.09%6.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Ugo Humbert (主隊):91.19%;Adrian Mannarino (客隊):8.81%。 對於「Adrian Mannarino (客隊)」,該估計相當於11.35的公平十進位賠率。 當時有17家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為15.00,對應+32.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (40 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.90%E -7.82%K -789.89%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +32.16%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.739%5.7%2026-05-25 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 93.35%EV -3.34%E -3.15%K -55.66%G +0.000%14.89I 6.72%NM 6.65%EV +31.19%E +2.09%K +2.25%G +0.701%1.1%2026-05-25 13:40
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +14.54%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.176%4.8%2026-05-25 13:38
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +14.54%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.176%4.8%2026-05-25 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +10.14%E +0.811%K +0.881%G +0.089%4.2%2026-05-25 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030%4.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030%4.5%2026-05-25 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +5.73%E +0.477%K +0.521%G +0.030%5.4%2026-05-25 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.63%EV -3.34%E -3.15%K -55.66%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.37%EV +2.21%E +0.190%K +0.208%G +0.005%3.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-25 13:50
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-25 13:48
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-25 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%5.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +1.32%E +0.115%K +0.126%G +0.002%6.7%2026-05-25 13:50
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -0.878%E -0.078%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:49
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:50
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.08%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:50
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -7.49%E -0.713%K -0.788%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 13:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:49
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.08%E -5.90%K -202.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.89%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -6.99%E -6.85%K -349.35%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -14.09%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 13:38
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.16%E -4.96%K -129.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.70%E -2.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:49
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -1.52%E -1.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -29.51%E -3.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -2.43%E -2.27%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -33.92%E -4.52%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 13:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 93.45%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55%1.9%2026-05-25 13:50
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54%12.66I 7.90%NM 7.46%5.9%2026-05-25 13:50
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 66.88%2.12I 47.17%NM 33.12%42.4%2026-05-25 13:50