Language:English
Tomas Machac v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Machac (Local)
Prediction 13.83%7.23fair odd
EV +7.08%
Edge +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 7.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.54%14.04%13.63%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.586.507.7420.00%15.19%15.38%12.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 86.17%1.16fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -12.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%85.96%86.37%87.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.31%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Machac (Local): 13.83%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 86.17%. For Tomas Machac (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV +7.08%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.074% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +5.15%E +0.677%K +0.780%G +0.040% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 18:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.389%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.92%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -7.03%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 18:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.76%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -12.84%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 18:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.61%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 18:12 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -19.76%E -3.41%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -22.52%E -4.02%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -30.83%E -6.17%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -1.77%E -1.55%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 18:28 |