مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tomas Machac v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-05-27 18:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tomas Machac (المضيف)

التنبؤ 13.83%7.23السعر العادل
EV +7.08%
الأفضلية +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.54%14.04%13.63%18.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.586.507.7420.00%15.19%15.38%12.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 86.17%1.16السعر العادل
EV -1.77%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -12.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.43%85.96%86.37%87.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.31%90.09%87.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV +7.08%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.074%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 18:20
DraftKings7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +5.15%E +0.677%K +0.780%G +0.040%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 18:24
MyBookie.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:29
NetBet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.389%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 18:19
Codere (IT)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 18:20
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Winamax (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
LowVig.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:19
BetOnline.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.92%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 18:19
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
GTbets6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -7.03%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:18
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:19
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:19
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:19
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:19
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:20
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:20
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:19
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.76%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 18:19
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Fliff6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -12.84%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:29
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.61%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:20
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:19
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 18:12
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -19.76%E -3.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -22.52%E -4.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -30.83%E -6.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -1.77%E -1.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 18:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%3.8%2026-05-27 18:28