A Escola das Odds

Tomas Machac v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-05-27 18:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tomas Machac (Local)

Previsão 13.83%7.23odd justa
EV +7.08%
Vantagem +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.54%14.04%13.63%18.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.586.507.7420.00%15.19%15.38%12.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 86.17%1.16odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -12.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.43%85.96%86.37%87.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.31%90.09%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV +7.08%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.074%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 18:20
DraftKings7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +5.15%E +0.677%K +0.780%G +0.040%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 18:24
MyBookie.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:29
NetBet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.389%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 18:19
Codere (IT)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 18:20
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Winamax (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
LowVig.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:19
BetOnline.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.92%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 18:19
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
GTbets6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -7.03%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:18
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:19
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:19
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:19
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:19
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:20
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:20
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:19
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.76%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 18:19
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Fliff6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -12.84%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:29
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.61%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:20
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:19
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 18:12
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -19.76%E -3.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -22.52%E -4.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -30.83%E -6.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -1.77%E -1.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%3.8%2026-05-27 18:28