L’École des cotes

Tomas Machac v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 18:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tomas Machac (Local)

Prévision 13.83%7.23cote équitable
EV +7.08%
Avantage +0.915%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 7.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.54%14.04%13.63%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.586.507.7420.00%15.19%15.38%12.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 86.17%1.16cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -12.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%85.96%86.37%87.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.31%90.09%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.54%EV +7.08%E +0.915%K +1.05%G +0.074%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.46%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 18:20
DraftKings7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +5.15%E +0.677%K +0.780%G +0.040%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 18:30
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 18:29
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.76%E +0.502%K +0.579%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 18:24
MyBookie.ag7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:29
NetBet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +0.303%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 18:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.389%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 18:19
Codere (IT)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 18:20
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Winamax (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:30
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.16%E -0.451%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
LowVig.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:19
BetOnline.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -5.09%E -0.742%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -5.92%E -0.871%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 18:19
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
Betsson6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.61%E -0.980%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
GTbets6.72I 14.88%NM 14.29%EV -7.03%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.71%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.69%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:18
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:19
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 18:19
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:19
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:19
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:20
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:20
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.07%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.58%K -67.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:19
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.76%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 18:19
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.46%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Fliff6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -12.84%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:29
BetAnything6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 18:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.53%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.61%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:20
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.50%E -3.12%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:19
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.36%E -3.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 18:30
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.99%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 18:12
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -19.76%E -3.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.22%E -4.74%K -52.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 18:30
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -22.52%E -4.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -6.94%E -6.43%K -86.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -30.83%E -6.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -1.77%E -1.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-27 18:30
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 18:30
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-05-27 18:30
Novig7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%3.8%2026-05-27 18:28