A Escola das Odds

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Pablo Carreno Busta

Início: 2026-05-29 09:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Previsão 67.43%1.48odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%67.49%67.43%69.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.401.391.4573.53%71.59%71.94%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV +2.59%
Vantagem +0.823%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.38%32.51%32.57%34.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.953.003.1536.36%33.90%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +2.59%E +0.823%K +1.21%G +0.031%4.2%2026-05-29 09:09
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +2.27%E +0.722%K +1.06%G +0.024%4.8%2026-05-29 09:06
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.965%E +0.311%K +0.460%G +0.004%4.7%2026-05-29 09:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.965%E +0.311%K +0.460%G +0.004%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +0.314%E +0.102%K +0.151%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +0.314%E +0.102%K +0.151%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 09:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:03
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 09:07
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -0.989%E -0.325%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:59
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 09:04
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 09:09
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 09:09
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 09:09
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 09:09
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 09:10
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.94%E -0.988%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.27%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.90%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 09:09
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:09
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 09:03
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 09:09
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 09:09
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 09:09
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:10
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:08
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:09
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 09:09
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:10
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:10
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:09
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 08:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:07
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:07
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 09:06
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-29 09:10
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-29 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%2.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-05-29 09:10