La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Pablo Carreno Busta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Predicción 67.43%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -4.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.49%67.43%69.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.391.4573.53%71.59%71.94%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)
Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV +2.59%
Ventaja +0.823%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.38%32.51%32.57%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.953.003.1536.36%33.90%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +2.59%E +0.823%K +1.21%G +0.031% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +2.27%E +0.722%K +1.06%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.965%E +0.311%K +0.460%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.965%E +0.311%K +0.460%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +0.314%E +0.102%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +0.314%E +0.102%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:03 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:07 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -0.989%E -0.325%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-29 09:04 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.94%E -0.988%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.27%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.90%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:03 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 08:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:07 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:07 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:06 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14% | 2.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |