La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Pablo Carreno Busta
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)
Previsione 67.43%1.48quota equa
EV -2.23%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%67.49%67.43%69.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.391.4573.53%71.59%71.94%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)
Previsione 32.57%3.07quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.823%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.031%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.38%32.51%32.57%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.953.003.1536.36%33.90%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +2.59%E +0.823%K +1.21%G +0.031% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +2.27%E +0.722%K +1.06%G +0.024% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.965%E +0.311%K +0.460%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.965%E +0.311%K +0.460%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +0.314%E +0.102%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV +0.314%E +0.102%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:03 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.663%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 09:07 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -0.989%E -0.325%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-29 09:04 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.94%E -0.988%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.27%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.90%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 09:03 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.23%E -1.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.81%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 08:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:07 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 09:07 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 09:06 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14% | 2.3% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-05-29 09:10 |