Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV +15.03%
Edge +3.01%
Kelly +3.76%
Growth +0.565%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%22.86%23.11%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.164.185.0027.03%24.01%23.92%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 76.99%1.30fair odd
EV -0.678%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.55%77.14%76.89%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.221.221.2986.96%81.91%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rafael Jodar (Local): 23.01%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 76.99%. For Rafael Jodar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +15.03%E +3.01%K +3.76%G +0.565% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.46%E -9.96%K -76.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV +4.68%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.062% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.076%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-02 12:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 12:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.69%E -9.21%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.22%E -1.75%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-02 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:47 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -8.44%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.69%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.54%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 12:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -13.04%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -0.678%E -0.525%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.45%E -1.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 12:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14% | 6.6% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |