L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Alexander Zverev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 23.01%4.35cote équitable
EV +15.03%
Avantage +3.01%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +0.565%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.70%22.86%23.11%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.164.185.0027.03%24.01%23.92%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.99%1.30cote équitable
EV -0.678%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.55%77.14%76.89%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.221.221.2986.96%81.91%81.97%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +15.03%E +3.01%K +3.76%G +0.565% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.46%E -9.96%K -76.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV +4.68%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.062% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.076%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-02 12:00 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 12:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.69%E -9.21%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| GTbets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.22%E -1.75%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-02 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:47 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -8.44%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.69%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.54%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 12:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -13.04%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -0.678%E -0.525%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 10:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.45%E -1.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 12:34 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Novig | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14% | 6.6% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |