La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 23.01%4.35momio equitativo
EV +15.03%
Ventaja +3.01%
Kelly +3.76%
Crecimiento +0.565%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.70%22.86%23.11%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.164.185.0027.03%24.01%23.92%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 76.99%1.30momio equitativo
EV -0.678%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.55%77.14%76.89%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.221.221.2986.96%81.91%81.97%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +15.03%E +3.01%K +3.76%G +0.565% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.46%E -9.96%K -76.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV +4.68%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.062% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.076%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-02 12:00 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 12:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.69%E -9.21%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| GTbets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.22%E -1.75%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-02 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:47 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -8.44%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.69%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.54%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 12:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -13.04%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -0.678%E -0.525%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 10:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.45%E -1.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 12:34 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 1.5% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-06-02 12:50 |
| Novig | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14% | 6.6% | 2026-06-02 12:49 |