StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar v Alexander Zverev

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-02 13:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 23.01%4.35faire Quote
EV +15.03%
Vorteil +3.01%
Kelly +3.76%
Wachstum +0.565%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.70%22.86%23.11%25.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.704.164.185.0027.03%24.01%23.92%20.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Auswärts)

Prognose 76.99%1.30faire Quote
EV -0.678%
Vorteil -0.525%
Kelly -2.34%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.55%77.14%76.89%81.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.151.221.221.2986.96%81.91%81.97%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 23.01%; Alexander Zverev (Auswärts): 76.99%. Für Rafael Jodar (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.35. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +15.03%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +15.03%E +3.01%K +3.76%G +0.565%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.46%E -9.96%K -76.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 12:49
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-02 12:50
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.83%E +1.27%K +1.62%G +0.094%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-02 12:50
Pinnacle🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%EV +4.68%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.062%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 12:49
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 12:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-02 12:50
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-02 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.53%E +0.784%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-02 12:50
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.076%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 12:50
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.384%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 12:50
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 12:50
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -1.07%E -0.250%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.92%E -8.48%K -58.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-02 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-02 12:00
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 12:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.22%E -0.524%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 12:50
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 12:50
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 12:50
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 12:50
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 12:39
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 12:39
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.69%E -9.21%K -66.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-02 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 12:30
GTbets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.22%E -1.75%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-02 12:10
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 12:30
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 12:39
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 12:47
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.30%E -4.31%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-02 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 12:50
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 12:50
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.83%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 11:50
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 12:40
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 12:50
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 12:50
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 12:50
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 12:50
DraftKings🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -8.44%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.69%EV -6.84%E -5.65%K -32.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.61%E -6.34%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-02 12:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.54%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-02 12:50
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.76%E -3.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 12:48
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -13.04%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -0.678%E -0.525%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 10:09
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.45%E -1.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 12:34
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -2.99%E -2.37%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -9.15%E -7.75%K -50.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-02 12:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-02 12:50
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-06-02 12:50
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-06-02 12:50
Novig4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%6.6%2026-06-02 12:49