Language:English
Nuno Borges v Miomir Kecmanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.75%40.17%40.05%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.12%42.11%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit)
Prediction 59.80%1.67fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.83%59.95%61.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.34%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 40.20%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 59.80%. For Nuno Borges (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.72%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:27 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 13:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:27 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:27 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.12%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 13:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |