La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Miomir Kecmanovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 40.20%2.49momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.614%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.75%40.17%40.05%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.12%42.11%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)
Predicción 59.80%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.83%59.95%61.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.34%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.72%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:27 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 13:28 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 13:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:27 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:27 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.12%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 13:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 13:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| GTbets | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:20 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:28 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Novig | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 13:30 |