Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nuno Borges v Miomir Kecmanovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nuno Borges (Local)

Prévision 40.20%2.49cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.614%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.75%40.17%40.05%41.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.12%42.11%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.80%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -5.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%59.83%59.95%61.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.34%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nuno Borges (Local) : 40.20% ; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visiteur) : 59.80%. Pour Nuno Borges (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.49. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.45, pour une espérance de -1.50% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.72%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:27
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 13:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 13:28
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 13:19
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:29
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:27
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:27
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:30
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.12%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:24
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:30
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:29
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:29
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:28
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 13:29
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:20
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:28
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-05-27 13:30