La scuola delle quote

Nuno Borges v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inizio: 2026-05-27 13:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nuno Borges (Casa)

Previsione 40.20%2.49quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.614%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.75%40.17%40.05%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.12%42.11%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.80%1.67quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -5.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%59.83%59.95%61.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.581.571.6265.36%63.34%63.69%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 13:30
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.72%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:27
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:29
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.50%E -0.614%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:30
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:30
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:29
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 13:29
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 13:28
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 13:29
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 13:19
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:29
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:27
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:27
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:30
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.12%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:24
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:30
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:30
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:29
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:30
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:28
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.93%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 13:29
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:28
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.92%E -3.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 13:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.53%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.13%E -1.93%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 13:29
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-05-27 13:30