Language:English
Nishesh Basavareddy v Alex Michelsen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nishesh Basavareddy (Local)
Prediction 37.13%2.69fair odd
EV -0.853%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.511%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%37.39%37.13%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.6741.67%39.27%39.22%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visit)
Prediction 62.87%1.59fair odd
EV -0.671%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.61%62.87%64.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.511.5868.03%66.01%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nishesh Basavareddy (Local): 37.13%; Alex Michelsen (Visit): 62.87%. For Alex Michelsen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.58, with an expected value of -0.671%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.853%E -0.319%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.08%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 14:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.19%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 14:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:27 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.68%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |