La scuola delle quote

Nishesh Basavareddy v Alex Michelsen

Inizio: 2026-05-27 14:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nishesh Basavareddy (Casa)

Previsione 37.13%2.69quota equa
EV -0.853%
Vantaggio -0.319%
Kelly -0.511%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.68%37.39%37.13%39.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.552.6741.67%39.27%39.22%37.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex Michelsen (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.87%1.59quota equa
EV -0.671%
Vantaggio -0.425%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.61%62.61%62.87%64.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.511.511.5868.03%66.01%66.23%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.853%E -0.319%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:30
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 14:25
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:29
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 14:29
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:29
SportsBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.08%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:25
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 14:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:29
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 14:24
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.19%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 14:25
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:27
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 14:25
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:29
TAB2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:29
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.68%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 14:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:30
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:29
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:29
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-27 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-05-27 14:30