La escuela de los momios

Nishesh Basavareddy v Alex Michelsen

Inicio: 2026-05-27 14:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nishesh Basavareddy (Local)

Predicción 37.13%2.69momio equitativo
EV -0.853%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.511%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.68%37.39%37.13%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.6741.67%39.27%39.22%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Predicción 62.87%1.59momio equitativo
EV -0.671%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%62.61%62.87%64.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.511.511.5868.03%66.01%66.23%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.853%E -0.319%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:30
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 14:25
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:29
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 14:29
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:29
SportsBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.08%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:25
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 14:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:29
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 14:24
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.19%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 14:25
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:27
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 14:25
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:29
TAB2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:29
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.68%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 14:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:30
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:29
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:29
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-27 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-05-27 14:30