L’École des cotes

Nishesh Basavareddy v Alex Michelsen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 14:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nishesh Basavareddy (Local)

Prévision 37.13%2.69cote équitable
EV -0.853%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.511%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.68%37.39%37.13%39.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.6741.67%39.27%39.22%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.87%1.59cote équitable
EV -0.671%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%62.61%62.87%64.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.511.511.5868.03%66.01%66.23%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.853%E -0.319%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:30
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -1.22%E -0.460%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 14:25
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.60%E -0.602%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:29
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 14:29
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:29
SportsBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.08%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:25
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 14:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:29
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.59%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 14:24
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.19%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 14:25
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:27
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 14:25
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:29
TAB2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:29
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.68%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 14:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:30
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -0.671%E -0.425%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:29
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 14:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:29
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-27 14:30
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-27 14:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-05-27 14:30