A Escola das Odds

Matteo Berrettini v Matteo Arnaldi

Início: 2026-06-03 18:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Matteo Berrettini (Local)

Previsão 62.78%1.59odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.917%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.19%62.81%62.76%63.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.521.521.5768.03%65.89%65.79%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)

Previsão 37.22%2.69odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.513%
Kelly -0.824%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.12%37.19%37.24%38.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.05%38.99%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.44%E -0.917%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 18:20
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 18:20
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -8.43%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.70%E -1.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-03 18:19
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 18:20
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:19
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:19
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 18:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 18:20
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 18:20
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 18:20
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.71%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 18:19
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 18:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 18:20
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 18:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 18:20
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 18:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 18:20
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 18:17
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.48%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 18:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 18:13
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 18:19
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 18:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 18:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 18:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 18:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 18:20
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 18:19
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-03 18:16
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 18:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 18:20
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 18:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-03 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-03 18:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-03 18:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-06-03 18:20
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.76%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.24%1.8%2026-06-03 18:20