La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Berrettini v Matteo Arnaldi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 62.78%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.19%62.81%62.76%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.521.521.5768.03%65.89%65.79%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)
Predicción 37.22%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.513%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.19%37.24%38.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.05%38.99%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.44%E -0.917%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -8.43%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.70%E -1.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.71%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:17 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.48%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 18:13 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-03 18:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.76% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.24% | 1.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |