Langue:Français
Matteo Berrettini v Matteo Arnaldi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prévision 62.78%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.917%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.19%62.81%62.76%63.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.521.521.5768.03%65.89%65.79%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.22%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.513%
Kelly -0.824%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.12%37.19%37.24%38.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.05%38.99%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Matteo Berrettini (Local) : 62.78% ; Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur) : 37.22%. Pour Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -1.36% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.44%E -0.917%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -8.43%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.70%E -1.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.71%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:17 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.48%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 18:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-03 18:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.76% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.24% | 1.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |