La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Matteo Arnaldi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 62.78%1.59quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.917%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.19%62.81%62.76%63.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.521.521.5768.03%65.89%65.79%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 37.22%2.69quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.513%
Kelly -0.824%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.12%37.19%37.24%38.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.05%38.99%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -1.44%E -0.917%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.07%E -1.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -8.43%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.70%E -1.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.36%E -0.513%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.71%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-03 18:17 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.48%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-03 18:13 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-03 18:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.76% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.24% | 1.8% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |