Szkoła Kursów

Matteo Arnaldi v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Początek: 2026-05-28 18:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.71%2.65kurs godziwy
EV +5.57%
Przewaga +1.99%
Kelly +3.10%
Wzrost +0.173%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.83%37.86%37.11%41.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.472.472.8046.51%40.53%40.49%35.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście)

Prognoza 62.29%1.61kurs godziwy
EV +1.54%
Przewaga +0.945%
Kelly +2.45%
Wzrost +0.038%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.07%62.14%62.89%65.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.531.521.6371.43%65.36%65.57%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +5.57%E +1.99%K +3.10%G +0.173%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-28 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 18:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:58
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 17:57
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:00
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +1.05%E +0.392%K +0.625%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 17:38
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 17:39
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 17:39
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 17:38
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:58
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -0.459%E -0.174%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 17:51
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.21%E -0.463%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 17:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 17:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 17:55
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:59
MyBookie.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 18:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:39
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 17:38
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 17:39
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 17:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 17:53
TAB2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 17:39
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:46
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 17:48
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 17:55
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 18:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 18:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.951%E -0.598%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 17:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 18:00
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 17:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 17:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 17:59
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 17:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.918%E +0.567%K +1.48%G +0.014%6.2%2026-05-28 17:58
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 17:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-28 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-28 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -17.05%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 17:59
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -18.93%E -8.81%K -16.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%0.1%2026-05-28 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-05-28 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%3.0%2026-05-28 18:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%4.3%2026-05-28 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%6.2%2026-05-28 18:00